Buttigieg's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31? — ↓ 4%

    23% chance

    Yes23%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes24¢25¢ after fees
    No77%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo78¢79¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $10.4K
    24h
    $128
    Liquidity
    $11.3K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes23%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US24¢25¢ after fees
    No77%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US78¢79¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 24¢: exit costs ~0.73¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg's hourly odds value in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com is equal to or below 4% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that Predict…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

    In the news

    Discussion

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    More in Politics

    All Politics