Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by...? — June 30, 2027

    12% chance

    Yes12%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes12¢no fee
    No88%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo89¢no fee
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $18.1K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $19.2K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes12%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US12¢no fee
    No89%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US89¢no fee

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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 12¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    In March 2026, Brazil imposed a 12% export tax on crude oil through Provisional Measure (MP) 1.340/2026. The tax has since been extended by resolutions of the Foreign Trade Chamber (Gecex-Camex), and oil producers are challenging it in court. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) or Superior Court of Justice (STJ) issues a qualifying ruling on the merits that the Crude Oil Export…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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