Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by...? — December 31, 2027

    18% chance

    Yes18%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes18¢no fee
    No82%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo83¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $7.9K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $16.0K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes18%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US18¢no fee
    No83%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US83¢no fee

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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 18¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    In March 2026, Brazil imposed a 12% export tax on crude oil through Provisional Measure (MP) 1.340/2026. The tax has since been extended by resolutions of the Foreign Trade Chamber (Gecex-Camex), and oil producers are challenging it in court. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) or Superior Court of Justice (STJ) issues a qualifying ruling on the merits that the Crude Oil Export…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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