SNL: Lorne Michaels' successor for showrunner — Bill Hader

3% chance

Yes3%

Buy Yes6¢7¢ after fees

No97%—

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes3%—6¢

6¢7¢ after fees

No97%—–—

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshi

If Bill Hader is announced to be succeeding Lorne Michaels as showrunner of SNL before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.