How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?

How much will US democracy weaken under Trump? — Below 7.50

69% chance

Yes69%

Buy Yes71¢73¢ after fees

No31%

Buy No33¢35¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 26, 2028
Volume: $14.1K
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Deposit $10, get $25

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes69%—71¢

71¢73¢ after fees

No31%—33¢

33¢35¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 71¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the United States falls below 7.50 in any year between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive) on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?
Resolves: Tue, December 26, 2028