When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law? — Before Jul 1, 2027

31% chance

Yes31%

Buy Yes35¢37¢ after fees

No69%

Buy No74¢76¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes31%—35¢

35¢37¢ after fees

No70%—74¢

74¢76¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 35¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If legislation requiring AI kill switches has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.