Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Jul 1, 2027

81% chance

Yes81%

Buy Yes84¢85¢ after fees

No19%

Buy No22¢24¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes81%—84¢

84¢85¢ after fees

No19%—22¢

22¢24¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 84¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.