Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? — Before January 20, 2029

8% chance

Yes8%

No92%

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes8%—9¢

9¢no fee

No92%—93¢

93¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 9¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.