Will the filibuster be weakened? — Before Jan 20, 2029

42% chance

Yes42%

Buy Yes43¢45¢ after fees

No58%

Buy No58¢60¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
Volume: $9.7K
24h: $1.4K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes42%—43¢

43¢45¢ after fees

No58%—58¢

58¢60¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 43¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If there is a change in U.S. Senate rules or precedent that lowers the threshold for cloture for any legislative action whose threshold for cloture at time of Issuance is three-fifths of all Senators duly chosen and sworn before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will the filibuster be weakened?
Resolves: Fri, January 1, 2027