Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? — Before Jan 1, 2027

5% chance

Yes5%

Buy Yes7¢8¢ after fees

No95%

Buy No98¢99¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes5%—7¢

7¢8¢ after fees

No96%—98¢

98¢99¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 7¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.