Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030? — Before 2030

33% chance

Yes33%

Buy Yes35¢37¢ after fees

No67%

Buy No68¢70¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes33%—35¢

35¢37¢ after fees

No67%—68¢

68¢70¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 35¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If the U.S. government has taken operational control of any private AI company or project before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Category: Politics
Event: Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
Resolves: Tue, January 1, 2030