NASA lands on the moon? — Before 2030

44% chance

Yes44%

Buy Yes45¢47¢ after fees

No56%

Buy No57¢59¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes44%—45¢

45¢47¢ after fees

No56%—57¢

57¢59¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 45¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.