Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030? — Before 2029

30% chance

Yes30%

Buy Yes33¢35¢ after fees

No70%

Buy No74¢76¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes30%—33¢

33¢35¢ after fees

No71%—74¢

74¢76¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 33¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If the U.S. government has taken operational control of any private AI company or project before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Category: Politics
Event: Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
Resolves: Sun, December 31, 2028