Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?

Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement? — Before Jan 20, 2029

38% chance

Yes38%

Buy Yes40¢42¢ after fees

No62%

Buy No64¢66¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 20, 2029
Volume: $25.7K
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes38%—40¢

40¢42¢ after fees

No62%—64¢

64¢66¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 40¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If a free trade agreement with any country has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
Resolves: Sat, January 20, 2029