When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip — Before 2028

78% chance

Yes78%

Buy Yes81¢83¢ after fees

No22%

Buy No25¢27¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes78%—81¢

81¢83¢ after fees

No22%—25¢

25¢27¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 81¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If Virgin Galactic launches next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip After issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Category: Culture
Event: When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip
Resolves: Fri, December 31, 2027