Will Trump run for a third term? — Before 2028

4% chance

Yes4%

Buy Yes5¢6¢ after fees

No96%

Buy No98¢99¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 1, 2028
Volume: $49.3K
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Deposit $10, get $25

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes4%—5¢

5¢6¢ after fees

No97%—98¢

98¢99¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 5¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Donald Trump has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Trump run for a third term?
Resolves: Sat, January 1, 2028