Australian House election winner? — Australian Labor Party

52% chance

Yes52%

Buy Yes57¢59¢ after fees

No48%

Buy No52¢54¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes52%—57¢

57¢59¢ after fees

No48%—52¢

52¢54¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 57¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If the winner of the next Australian House election is Australian Labor Party, then the market resolves to Yes.