How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election? — At least 48

95% chance

Yes95%

Buy Yes95¢96¢ after fees

No5%

Buy No6¢7¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 7, 2028
Volume: $118
24h: $31

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes95%—95¢

95¢96¢ after fees

No6%—6¢

6¢7¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 95¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the Democratic Party holds at least 48 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?
Resolves: Tue, November 7, 2028