How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election? — At least 215

89% chance

Yes89%

Buy Yes90¢91¢ after fees

No11%

Buy No12¢13¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 7, 2028
Volume: $31
24h: $6

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes89%—90¢

90¢91¢ after fees

No11%—12¢

12¢13¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 90¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

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How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the Democratic Party holds at least 215 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?
Resolves: Tue, November 7, 2028