How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck?

How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck? — At least 125

19% chance

Yes19%

Buy Yes21¢23¢ after fees

No81%

Buy No84¢85¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 4, 2027
Volume: $9.2K
24h: $215

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Deposit $10, get $25

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes19%—21¢

21¢23¢ after fees

No82%—84¢

84¢85¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 21¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate is at least 125 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck?
Resolves: Mon, January 4, 2027