How many Senate Republicans will vote to convict Trump?

How many Senate Republicans will vote to convict Trump? — At least 12

24% chance

Yes24%

Buy Yes26¢28¢ after fees

No76%

Buy No78¢80¢ after fees

Resolves: Apr 20, 2029
Volume: $1.2K
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Deposit $10, get $25

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes24%—26¢

26¢28¢ after fees

No76%—78¢

78¢80¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 26¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment is at least 12 before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: How many Senate Republicans will vote to convict Trump?
Resolves: Fri, April 20, 2029