Turkish presidential election winner? — Ahmet Davutoğlu

8% chance

Yes8%

Buy Yes11¢12¢ after fees

No92%

Buy No95¢96¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes8%—11¢

11¢12¢ after fees

No92%—95¢

95¢96¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 11¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If Ahmet Davutoğlu wins the next Turkish presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.