Next German federal election winner? — AfD

72% chance

Yes72%

Buy Yes75¢77¢ after fees

No28%

Buy No32¢34¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes72%—75¢

75¢77¢ after fees

No28%—32¢

32¢34¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 75¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.