How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?

How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027? — Above 900

57% chance

Yes57%

Buy Yes58¢60¢ after fees

No43%

Buy No43¢45¢ after fees

Resolves: Oct 31, 2027
Volume: $1.3K
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes57%—58¢

58¢60¢ after fees

No43%—43¢

43¢45¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 58¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

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How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call is above 900 as of October 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?
Resolves: Sun, October 31, 2027