How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term? — Above 800

2% chance

Yes2%

Buy Yes2¢3¢ after fees

No98%

Buy No99¢100¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes2%—2¢

2¢3¢ after fees

No99%—99¢

99¢100¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 2¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If the President signs above 800 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes.