Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 40

2% chance

Yes2%

Buy Yes2¢3¢ after fees

No98%

Buy No99¢100¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 17, 2026
Volume: $40.3K
24h: $1.6K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes2%—2¢

2¢3¢ after fees

No99%—99¢

99¢100¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 2¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)
Resolves: Tue, November 17, 2026