How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026? — Above 120

1% chance

Yes1%

Buy Yes2¢3¢ after fees

No99%—

Resolves: Jan 5, 2027
Volume: $1.4K
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes1%—2¢

2¢3¢ after fees

No99%—–—

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 120 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
Resolves: Tue, January 5, 2027