How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year? — Above 11

5% chance

Yes5%

Buy Yes7¢8¢ after fees

No95%

Buy No97¢98¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 1, 2026
Volume: $5.0K
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes5%—7¢

7¢8¢ after fees

No95%—97¢

97¢98¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 7¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If more than 11 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
Resolves: Tue, December 1, 2026