How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year? — Above 10

12% chance

Yes12%

Buy Yes16¢17¢ after fees

No88%

Buy No92¢93¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 1, 2026
Volume: $3.9K
24h: $54

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes12%—16¢

16¢17¢ after fees

No88%—92¢

92¢93¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 16¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
Resolves: Tue, December 1, 2026