How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026? — Above 0

18% chance

Yes18%

Buy Yes18¢20¢ after fees

No82%

Buy No83¢84¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes18%—18¢

18¢20¢ after fees

No83%—83¢

83¢84¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 18¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If the total number of New World screwworm infestation cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Category: Culture
Event: How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Resolves: Fri, January 1, 2027