Before August 1, 2026

    Volume

    $2.9M

    $7.2K 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Aug 1, 2026

    ~61 days left

    Category

    Politics

    CHANCE OF YES2%98%
    Yes
    Kalshi
    No
    98¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    KKalshi
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    No
    98¢
    Vol
    $2.9M
    $7.2K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

    May 26 22:28May 28 14:12May 30 16:19May 31 11:34Jun 1 05:05Jun 2 07:04

    About This Market

    If Donald Trump leaves office before August 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    How This Resolves

    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KKalshiat 3¢: exit costs ~0.17¢/contract
    Full calculator

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