🏛️

    JB Pritzker

    Volume

    $14.4M

    $1.9K 24h

    Platforms

    3

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 7, 2028

    ~889 days left

    Arbitrage

    +72.3¢

    Spread detected

    CHANCE OF YES6%94%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    26¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    3 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    No
    98¢
    Vol
    $14.4M
    $1.9K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    79¢
    No
    26¢
    Vol
    $7.4K
    Trade on Kalshi
    IPredictIt
    Yes
    No
    96¢
    Vol
    $0
    Trade on PredictIt

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:2625¢50¢87.8¢

    About This Market

    Who will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

    How This Resolves

    IPredictIt

    Source: Official government sources, AP

    Rule: Resolves based on official results. PredictIt staff make final resolution determination.

    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    IPredictItat 5¢: exit costs ~0.5¢/contract
    PPolymarketat 2¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KKalshiat 79¢: exit costs ~1.16¢/contract
    Full calculator

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