TRADING OPEN

    What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026? — $5/MTok or below

    Volume

    $16.9K

    $0 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    ~72 days left

    Category

    Culture

    3¢CHANCE OF YES3%97%
    Yes
    3¢
    Kalshi
    No
    100¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    3¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $16.9K
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

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    About This Market

    If the Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $5 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 3¢: exit costs ~0.2¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Jan 1, 2027
    Time Left72 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryCulture

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