How many government shutdowns in 2026? — 3

33% chance

Yes33%

Buy Yes33¢35¢ after fees

No67%

Buy No68¢70¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
Volume: $24.5K
24h: $62

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes33%—33¢

33¢35¢ after fees

No68%—68¢

68¢70¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 33¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 3 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: How many government shutdowns in 2026?
Resolves: Fri, January 1, 2027