Beta
    LiveEventsArbitrageWhalesSocialLearnArticlesPortfolio

    Weekly Market Brief

    Arbitrage alerts, platform updates, and top movers — one email per week.

    Real-time prediction market odds, cross-platform arbitrage, and market analytics — all in one place.

    About·Terms·Privacy·Press

    Guides

    • How It Works
    • Getting Started
    • Best Apps
    • Fees Guide
    • Tax Guide
    • Settlement Rules
    • Glossary
    • All guides →

    Platforms

    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket
    • FanDuel Predicts
    • Robinhood
    • DraftKings
    • PredictIt
    • Kalshi vs Polymarket
    • All platforms →

    Explore

    • Live
    • Events
    • Arbitrage
    • Whale Tracking
    • Leaderboard
    • Articles
    • Regulatory Tracker
    • State Checker

    Categories

    • Politics
    • Economics
    • Crypto
    • Sports
    • Football
    • Entertainment
    • Weather

    Disclaimer: PredictionMarkets.us provides arbitrage information, market data, and educational content for informational purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, profitability, availability, or timeliness of any opportunities displayed on this page. PredictionMarkets.us is not responsible for: trading losses or financial damages, incorrect or outdated odds/pricing, delays in market updates, platform outages or exchange errors, failed trades or execution issues, account restrictions or limitations imposed by third-party platforms, changes in market conditions, tax or legal consequences resulting from trading activity. Users are solely responsible for conducting their own research and making their own financial decisions. Trading prediction markets involves risk, and past performance or displayed arbitrage opportunities do not guarantee future results. PredictionMarkets.us is not a broker, financial advisor, investment advisor, or gambling operator.

    © 2026 PredictionMarkets.US

    For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

    HomeLearnIG Group Acquires Underdog: What Prediction Market Users Need to Know
    Guide

    IG Group Acquires Underdog: What Prediction Market Users Need to Know

    Announced — Pending Close·Announced July 30, 2026 · Expected close: late 2026 or early 2027
    Official announcement

    On July 30, 2026, IG Group Holdings plc — the London-listed derivatives broker already behind tastytrade — announced it agreed to acquire Underdog Sports Holdings for total consideration of up to up to approximately $1.3 billion. The deal, if it closes, hands IG Group simultaneous exposure to two of the largest prediction market infrastructure stacks in the US: Kalshi's DCM (via tastytrade and Apex Fintech) and Underdog's proprietary UDX exchange.

    No other company currently spans both lanes. For traders, the short answer is: nothing changes today — but the ownership map of US prediction markets is being redrawn at the institutional level.

    Who Is IG Group?

    IG Group Holdings plc (LSE: IGG) is a UK-based financial technology firm headquartered in London, UK. It operates online trading platforms for retail and institutional clients worldwide, specializing in derivatives: contracts for difference (CFDs), spread betting, and — increasingly — event contracts.

    In the US, IG Group acquired tastytrade in 2021, giving it a foothold in active retail options trading. tastytrade subsequently launched CFTC-regulated prediction markets on July 27, 2026, powered by Apex Fintech Solutions connecting to Kalshi's DCM.

    IG Group CEO Breon Corcoran called the Underdog deal “a defining step establishing IG as a leader in US prediction markets, one of the most significant opportunities across trading and entertainment.”

    Founded
    1974
    Listed on
    LSE: IGG
    HQ
    London, UK
    Owned tastytrade since
    2021

    What IG Group Now Controls

    After the deal closes, IG Group will be the only entity with direct or indirect exposure to both of the US's major prediction market infrastructure providers.

    PlatformPM Exchange / InfraIG Group RelationshipStatus
    tastytradeApex Fintech Solutions → Kalshi DCMWholly owned subsidiary since 2021
    IG-owned
    UnderdogUDX (Aristotle Exchange DCM/DCO)Acquisition announced July 30, 2026
    Pending close

    Note: IG Group does not own Kalshi. tastytrade connects to Kalshi's exchange via Apex Fintech — a business relationship, not ownership.

    Deal Structure

    Total consideration
    up to approximately $1.3 billion
    Upfront + earnout
    Upfront enterprise value
    approximately $1.1 billion
    Cash + new IG shares
    Earnout
    up to approximately $200 million
    Tied to Underdog 2026 performance
    Expected close
    late 2026 or early 2027
    Subject to regulatory approvals

    Regulatory Approvals Required

    Subject to US regulatory approvals including Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act clearance

    Source: IG Group official investor relations announcement, July 30, 2026

    Why Two Lanes Matters

    The Kalshi Lane (via tastytrade)

    tastytrade connects retail traders to Kalshi's DCM through Apex Fintech Solutions, an FCM (Futures Commission Merchant). Kalshi holds both a DCM and DCO license from the CFTC. When you trade on tastytrade's event contracts tab, your order clears through this infrastructure. IG Group has owned tastytrade — and therefore has commercial exposure to this lane — since 2021.

    The UDX Lane (via Underdog's Aristotle Exchange)

    Underdog operates its own proprietary exchange — UDX, run by Aristotle Exchange — which holds both a DCM and DCO license independently of Kalshi. This is structurally separate: different clearing, different regulatory filings, different market structure. When the acquisition closes, IG Group will control a platform that sits on top of its own fully licensed exchange stack.

    First company to span both major US PM infra providers

    No other single company currently has direct commercial exposure to both the Kalshi DCM lane and the CDNA/UDX lane simultaneously. If the acquisition closes as announced, IG Group will occupy a structurally unique position in the US prediction market infrastructure map.

    Underdog at a Glance

    Underdog launched in 2020 as a daily fantasy sports operator. It expanded into prediction markets and, ahead of the acquisition announcement, launched its in-house exchange (UDX via Aristotle Exchange) — giving it a CFTC-licensed exchange and clearing stack independent of Kalshi.

    Monthly active users
    approximately 1 million
    Users under 30
    more than 60%
    US states live
    40 states
    Exchange infra
    UDX (Aristotle)

    Source: IG Group acquisition announcement, July 30, 2026

    What Changes for You (and What Doesn't)

    Account access
    No changes expected before deal closes. Your Underdog and tastytrade accounts operate under current terms.
    Fee schedules
    No fee changes announced. Check each platform's official help center for current rates.
    State availability
    State restrictions remain per each platform's current terms. No access changes announced.
    Post-close integration
    No integration timeline has been announced. IG Group has not stated whether tastytrade and Underdog will merge features, share infra, or remain operationally separate.
    Kalshi relationship unchanged
    IG Group acquiring Underdog does not change tastytrade's existing connection to Kalshi via Apex Fintech. That is a business arrangement independent of the Underdog deal.

    Acquisition Timeline

    July 30, 2026
    IG Group announces agreement to acquire Underdog
    RNS announcement on London Stock Exchange
    August 2026
    HSR filing and regulatory review period begins
    Required US antitrust filing under Hart-Scott-Rodino Act
    late 2026 or early 2027
    Expected close (subject to all regulatory approvals)
    Timeline from IG Group official announcement

    Frequently Asked Questions

    Sources & Methodology
    • • IG Group official investor relations: Acquisition of Underdog (July 30, 2026)
    • • IG Group RNS regulatory filing (LSE), July 30, 2026

    This page cites the platform's official investor relations release as its primary source. No commercial relationship exists between PredictionMarkets.us and IG Group, Underdog, tastytrade, or Kalshi.

    Related Pages

    tastytrade Prediction Markets
    IG Group's other PM platform — financial event contracts via Apex Fintech and Kalshi DCM.
    Underdog Prediction Markets Guide
    Current Underdog account info, state availability, and platform features.
    Underdog UDX Exchange Explained
    How Aristotle Exchange's DCM/DCO structure differs from Kalshi's lane.
    How Much Legal Risk Does Kalshi Face in 2026?
    The six simultaneous legal challenges against the exchange tastytrade connects through.