World Cup Winner

    This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Resolves Jul 18, 2028
    Total Volume

    $2.1B

    +$101.6M (24h)

    Active Markets

    48

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    17¢

    Spain

    Biggest Mover 24h

    No movement

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    48 markets · Showing 8
    #
    1
    Spain📈 Trending
    17¢18¢17¢
    $43.7M+$2.2M 24h
    216¢16¢16¢
    $52.6M+$1.8M 24h
    311¢11¢11¢
    $49.3M+$2.8M 24h
    4
    England📈 Trending
    11¢11¢11¢
    $37.8M+$2.0M 24h
    5
    $39.7M+$2.8M 24h
    6
    Brazil📈 Trending
    $38.7M+$2.2M 24h
    7
    $40.0M+$2.0M 24h
    8
    Netherlands📈 Trending
    $45.9M+$2.7M 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Spain
    17%
    17¢
    2France
    16%
    16¢
    3Portugal
    11¢
    4England
    11¢
    5Argentina
    6Brazil
    7Germany
    8Netherlands
    9Norway
    10Belgium
    11Colombia
    12Japan
    13Morocco
    14Mexico
    15Switzerland
    16USA
    17Turkey
    18Uruguay
    19Ecuador
    20Croatia
    21Senegal
    22Austria
    23Ivory Coast
    24Sweden
    25Canada
    26Scotland
    27South Korea
    28Egypt
    29Paraguay
    30Czechia
    31Algeria
    32Bosnia and Herzegovina
    33Ghana
    34Australia
    35Congo DR
    36Iran
    37Saudi Arabia
    38Uzbekistan
    39South Africa
    40Qatar
    41Iraq
    42Curacao
    43Jordan
    44Tunisia
    45Cape Verde
    46Panama
    47New Zealand
    48Haiti

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jul 18, 2028

    ~769 days remaining
    Category
    Sports
    Markets
    48
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $2.1B

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    sold $299K No on Austria

    kalshi · about 13 hours ago

    Mega

    sold $115K No on Austria

    kalshi · about 13 hours ago

    Whale

    sold $50K No on Senegal

    kalshi · about 11 hours ago

    Whale

    bought $34K Yes on Brazil

    polymarket · about 1 hour ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 11, 10:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 40.0% in 24h

      Mexico · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 11, 10:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 11.1% in 24h

      Ecuador · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 11, 10:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 7.6% in 24h

      Portugal · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 11, 10:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 7.7% in 24h

      Turkiye · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 11, 10:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 6.0% in 24h

      Brazil · Kalshi