2028 Presidential Election: Wisconsin Winner

    Democratic party leads by 16 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. Democratic party#156%
    2. Republican party#240%
    Resolves
    Nov 21, 2028
    Volume
    $207
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $225
    Candidates
    2
    kalshiPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3 venues · 2 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Democratic party56%
    • Republican party40%
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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Democratic party24h
      10¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USkalshi
    2. Republican party24h
      6¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Democratic party$1 vol · 10¢ apart56%▼ 2Polymarket US52¢fee unknown
    Republican party$206 vol · 6¢ apart40%▼ 2Polymarket US41¢fee unknown

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket US
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the Democratic Party wins the most electoral votes in Wisconsin in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    2028 Presidential Election: Wisconsin Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate, or, in the case of an independent candidate, the named candidate, who wins the most valid statewide votes of any candidate in Wisconsin in the 2028 Presidential Election. A candidate will be considered to represent a party if they are the nominee of that party. A candidate…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate, or, in the case of an independent candidate, the named candidate, who wins the most valid statewide votes of any candidate in Wisconsin in the 2028 Presidential Election. A candidate will be considered to represent a party if they are the nominee of that party. A candidate who is the nominee of either the Democratic or Republican Party will be considered to represent that party, regardless of any additional party affiliations they may have. This market resolves based on the candidate that wins the most statewide votes in the specified state in the 2028 US presidential election, regardless of the subsequent distribution of that state’s electoral college votes. For states using ranked-choice voting or another multi-round system, the vote count from the final round will be used. The nominees of relevant parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. If any named party nominee is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and this market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the statewide Wisconsin results of the 2028 presidential election cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution sources for this market are the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC; however, the certified statewide results of the 2028 presidential election may also be used. This market will resolve once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have all concurrently called the state for the same candidate. If one or more of these news organizations does not make statewide race calls for the 2028 presidential election it will be considered to have been struck from this list. If the relevant news organizations do not reach consensus, this market will resolve based on the certified results of the election reported by the state government.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 21, 2028
    kalshiPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 3 venues

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