Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

    70% chance · down 3 pts today

    Yes70%▼ 3kalshiYes71¢73¢ after fees
    No30%▲ 3kalshiNo30¢32¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jan 20, 2029
    Volume
    $1.1M
    24h
    $9.0K
    Liquidity
    $47.6K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 1 market

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Before Jan 20, 202924h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

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    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes70%▼ 3kalshi71¢73¢ after fees
    No30%▲ 3kalshi30¢32¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the U.S. House of Representatives has passed a bill impeaching the President of the United States after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resol…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, January 20, 2029
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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