
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
70% chance · down 3 pts today
- Resolves
- Jan 20, 2029
- Volume
- $1.1M
- 24h
- $9.0K
- Liquidity
- $47.6K
Chance over time
Yes price, by venueDeposit $10, get $25
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Signals
1 signal- Before Jan 20, 202924h▼ 3¢ in 24h


Every venue’s price
2 venuesEach share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.
Smart money
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In the news
How each venue settles it
Kalshi
If the U.S. House of Representatives has passed a bill impeaching the President of the United States after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules on Kalshi ↗
Polymarket (global)
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resol…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
- Category
- Politics
- Resolves
- Sat, January 20, 2029