Weather

    Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

    10% chance · down 1 pts today

    Yes10%▼ 1kalshiYes11¢12¢ after fees
    No90%▲ 1kalshiNo91¢92¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2028
    Volume
    $19.1K
    24h
    $0
    kalshi1 venue · 1 market

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes10%▼ 1kalshi11¢12¢ after fees
    No90%▲ 1kalshi91¢92¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, December 31, 2028
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

    More in Weather

    All Weather