Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

    99% chance

    Yes99%—
    No1%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo2¢2¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $11.0K
    24h
    $0

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    0 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes99%——
    No1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027

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