Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

    Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1? Live odds across 7 markets: Midwest (MISO) at 43¢. Resolves Oct 1, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Oct 1, 2026

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

    Resolves Oct 1, 2026
    Total Volume

    $402

    +$20 (24h)

    Active Markets

    7

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    43¢

    Midwest (MISO)

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -44¢

    California (CAISO)

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    7 markets · Showing 7
    #
    1
    —
    Midwest (MISO)
    		43¢43¢
    $40
    		+1¢—
    2
    —
    New England (ISO-NE)
    		41¢41¢
    $0
    		-3¢—
    3
    —
    Central US (SPP)
    		41¢41¢
    $40
    		-2¢—
    4
    —
    Mid-Atlantic (PJM)
    		39¢39¢
    $40
    		-28¢—
    5
    —
    New York (NYISO)
    		39¢39¢
    $142
    		-32¢—
    6
    —
    California (CAISO) Hot
    		27¢27¢
    $60+$20 24h
    		-44¢—
    7
    —
    Texas (ERCOT)
    		22¢22¢
    $80
    		-15¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Midwest (MISO)
    43%
    43¢+1¢
    2New England (ISO-NE)
    41%
    41¢-3¢
    3Central US (SPP)
    41%
    41¢-2¢
    4Mid-Atlantic (PJM)
    39%
    39¢-28¢
    5New York (NYISO)
    39%
    39¢-32¢
    6California (CAISO)
    27%
    27¢-44¢
    7Texas (ERCOT)
    22%
    22¢-15¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 1, 2026

    ~37 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    7
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $402

    Whale Activity

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