Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

    Before Jan 1, 2030 leads by 1 pt · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. Before Jan 1, 2030#133%
    2. Before Jan 1, 2029#232%
    3. Before Jan 1, 2028#316%
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2030
    Volume
    $309.1K
    24h
    $101
    Candidates
    4
    kalshi1 venue · 4 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Before Jan 1, 203033%
    • Before Jan 1, 202932%
    • Before Jan 1, 202816%
    • Before Jan 1, 20274%
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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Before Jan 1, 202724h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Before Jan 1, 2030$24.5K vol33%▼ 2kalshi35¢37¢ after fees
    Before Jan 1, 2029$23.5K vol32%▲ 1kalshi35¢37¢ after fees
    Before Jan 1, 2028$47.0K vol16%▼ 1kalshi17¢18¢ after fees
    Before Jan 1, 2027$214.0K vol4%▼ 3kalshi7¢8¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, January 1, 2030
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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