Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

    Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan? Live odds across 4 markets: Before Jan 1, 2030 at 39¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2030. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2030

    TRADING OPEN
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    Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2030
    Total Volume

    $287.2K

    +$28 (24h)

    Active Markets

    4

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    39¢

    Before Jan 1, 2030

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -2¢

    Before Jan 1, 2027

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    4 markets · Showing 4
    #
    139¢39¢
    $21.8K
    228¢28¢
    $22.8K
    318¢18¢
    $38.2K
    -2¢
    4
    $204.3K+$28 24h
    -2¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Before Jan 1, 2030
    39%
    39¢
    2Before Jan 1, 2029
    28%
    28¢
    3Before Jan 1, 2028
    18%
    18¢-2¢
    4Before Jan 1, 2027
    -2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2030

    ~1205 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    4
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $287.2K

    Whale Activity

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