Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    Resolves May 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $597.4K

    +$73.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    7

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    99¢

    Before Jun 14, 2026

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +8¢

    May 31

    Arb Opportunities

    1

    Best gross: 21¢ / $1 pair

    All Markets

    7 markets · Showing 7
    #24H
    199¢100¢
    $20.4K+$3.9K 24h
    -1¢
    296¢96¢
    $48.7K+$720 24h
    -1¢
    375¢76¢
    $10.0K+$2.3K 24h
    +8¢
    475¢75¢
    $70.0K+$3.3K 24h
    +4¢
    5
    May 22📈 Trending
    71¢51¢73¢
    $86.0K+$17.9K 24h
    +7¢
    21¢🔥
    6
    $224.6K+$38.4K 24h
    7
    $137.7K+$6.6K 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1May 22
    71%
    71¢+7¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~May 31, 2026

    ~12 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    7
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $597.4K
    Arb Opportunities
    1

    Whale Activity

    No whale trades detected yet

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 18.6% in 24h

      Before May 22, 2026 · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 13.4% in 24h

      May 31 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 5.6% in 24h

      Before May 23, 2026 · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 12.3% in 24h

      May 22 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 13.4% in 24h

      May 31 · Polymarket