Will a judge be impeached in 2026?

2% chance · down 1 pts today

Yes2%▼ 1

Buy Yes2¢3¢ after fees

No98%▲ 1

Buy No99¢99¢ after fees

2 venues · 1 market

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes2%▼ 12¢3¢

2¢3¢ after fees

No98%▲ 199¢99¢

99¢99¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Kalshi

If a federal judge is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

PredictIt

Will any US federal judge be impeached in 2026?

Will any US federal judge be impeached in 2026?

Compared across 2 venues