Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?

    Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)? Live odds across 5 markets: Before Jul 1, 2028 at 96¢. Resolves Jul 1, 2028. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jul 1, 2028

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    Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?

    Resolves Jul 1, 2028
    Total Volume

    $1.4K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    96¢

    Before Jul 1, 2028

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -10¢

    Before Oct 1, 2027

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets · Showing 5
    #
    196¢96¢
    $0
    -4¢
    293¢93¢
    $846
    -2¢
    360¢60¢
    $551
    -10¢
    416¢16¢
    $0
    -4¢
    5
    $0
    -5¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Before Jul 1, 2028
    96%
    96¢-4¢
    2Before Jan 1, 2028
    93%
    93¢-2¢
    3Before Oct 1, 2027
    60%
    60¢-10¢
    4Before Jul 1, 2027
    16%
    16¢-4¢
    5Before Apr 1, 2027
    -5¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jul 1, 2028

    ~656 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $1.4K

    Whale Activity

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