Weather

    Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

    63% chance · down 7 pts today

    Yes63%▼ 7Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes64¢65¢ after fees
    No37%▲ 7Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo38¢39¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $18.5K
    24h
    $59
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 1 market

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?24h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes63%▼ 7Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US64¢65¢ after fees
    No37%▲ 7Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US38¢39¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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