US Election

    Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?

    97% chance

    Yes97%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes97¢97¢ after fees
    No3%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo3¢4¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jan 3, 2027
    Volume
    $14.1K
    24h
    $0
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 1 market

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes97%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US97¢97¢ after fees
    No3%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢4¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, January 3, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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