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    Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

    5% chance · down 2 pts today

    Yes5%▼ 2kalshiYes6¢7¢ after fees
    No95%▲ 2kalshiNo96¢97¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $68.0K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $1.4K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 1 market

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    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes5%▼ 2kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    No95%▲ 2kalshi96¢97¢ after fees

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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If George R.R. Martin has announced a release date for The Winds of Winter before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R. R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be suffi…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R. R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify. This market is concerned only with the announcement of release. The resolution source for this market will be official information from George R. R. Martin or a consensus of credible sources.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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