Will China obtain an EUV machine?

    Will China obtain an EUV machine? Live odds across 4 markets: Before Jan 1, 2030 at 71¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2030. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2030

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Will China obtain an EUV machine?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2030
    Total Volume

    $2.0K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    4

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    71¢

    Before Jan 1, 2030

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Before Jan 1, 2029

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    4 markets · Showing 4
    #
    171¢71¢
    $58
    -4¢
    254¢54¢
    $840
    -4¢
    332¢32¢
    $214
    -4¢
    4
    $881
    -2¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Before Jan 1, 2030
    71%
    71¢-4¢
    2Before Jan 1, 2029
    54%
    54¢-4¢
    3Before Jan 1, 2028
    32%
    32¢-4¢
    4Before Jan 1, 2027
    -2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2030

    ~1206 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    4
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $2.0K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...