US Election

    AOC runs for POTUS or Senate?

    President leads by 22 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. President#156%
    2. Senate#234%
    3. Neither#34%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $127.1K
    24h
    $4.5K
    Liquidity
    $65.1K
    Candidates
    3
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USpredictit2 venues · 3 markets

    Who’s winning

    • President56%
    • Senate34%
    • Neither4%
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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Senate24h
      14¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USpredictit

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    President$75.0K vol56%▲ 2predictit55¢60¢ after fees
    Senate$30.8K vol · 14¢ apart34%—predictit48¢53¢ after fees
    Neither$21.3K vol4%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢5¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket (global)
    • PredictIt
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    predictitPredictIt

    Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?

    Full rules on PredictIt ↗

    About this market

    Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USpredictitCompared across 2 venues

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